This article delves into the Adjacent User Theory, a concept that helped Instagram and Slack achieve exponential growth beyond their initial product-market fit. The Adjacent User Theory identifies users who are aware of a product, possibly tried it, but struggle to become engaged users due to barriers to adoption. These are the users who represent the potential for growth beyond your current user base.
Addressing the needs of Adjacent Users is critical for several reasons. It allows you to capture the full potential of your current product-market fit, enabling your product to reach its true potential. Moreover, solving for the Adjacent User has a compounding impact over time, not just for near-term cohorts but also for future generations of users.
Imagine your product as a series of circles, each representing a user state, such as "Power User," "Core User," "Casual User," "Signed Up," or "Visitor." Adjacent Users are those "in orbit" around a circle, having an equal or greater chance of leaving than transitioning to the next state. They are stuck at the edge, unable to cross the threshold due to specific barriers.
Let's explore Instagram's example. Users need to pass through several thresholds to become core users:
At each threshold, Instagram identified a group of users who were hovering on the edge, struggling to progress. For example, if a user had more than 10 followers within the first 7 days of signing up, they had a 65% chance of becoming activated. However, there was always a segment of users struggling to build their audience. The reasons varied across user groups and changed over time.
Slack faced similar challenges. Its key user thresholds include:
At Slack, a user who was active for 3 days out of the last 7 (3d7) had a 50/50 chance of churning or retaining the next week. This illustrated the need to identify and address the challenges of users on the edge of each user state.
Several factors tend to distract teams from focusing on Adjacent Users, including:
The first step in addressing Adjacent Users is to develop hypotheses about who they are and why they are struggling. This process involves:
Knowing who your Adjacent Users are is not enough. You must understand why they are struggling. This requires building empathy, which can be achieved through several techniques:
The order in which you address different segments of Adjacent Users is crucial. Focus on segments that will lead to long-term value and growth. Here are some key principles for sequencing:
The characteristics of Adjacent Users are constantly changing, influenced by several factors:
To navigate the evolving landscape of Adjacent Users, keep the following in mind:
Successful products need to shift their focus from core users to Adjacent Users to sustain growth. By embracing Adjacent User Theory and continuously evolving to serve new user segments, companies can achieve sustainable growth and reach a broader audience. Remember, the key is to prioritize the right Adjacent Users, those who are most likely to contribute to long-term value and success.
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